主管:教育部
主办:中国人民大学
ISSN 0257-2826  CN 11-1454/G4

《教学与研究》 ›› 2011, Vol. ›› Issue (8): 75-82.DOI:

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内政与同盟关系述论——基于政权更替、政权类型及军事利益集团的视角

张景全   

  1. 吉林大学东北亚研究院, 吉林长春130012
  • 收稿日期:2011-03-03 出版日期:2011-08-20 发布日期:2012-03-05
  • 基金资助:
    吉林省社会科学基金项目“新形势下日美同盟走向研究”(项目编号: 2009B026);吉林大学哲学社会科学种子基金项目“日本对外结盟的发展趋势研究”(项目编号: 2008ZZ025)的系列成果之一

On the Relations between Domestic Politics and Alliance——from the Perspectives of Regime Changes,Regime Types and Military Interest Groups

ZHANG Jing-quan   

  1. Institute of Northeast Asian Studies, Jilin University, Changchun, Jilin 130012, China
  • Received:2011-03-03 Online:2011-08-20 Published:2012-03-05

摘要: 政权更替、政权类型以及与政权紧密相关的军事利益集团对结盟政策产生影响。政权更迭后执政者优先考虑的是政权的生存、安全及合法性,而同盟是迅速满足这些需求的手段之一,两者存在互动。同盟承诺的成本影响同盟承诺的可信性,不同政权类型提供了对同盟承诺可信性的不同预期。军事利益集团通过提供较为清晰的本国、盟友及对手的军力实际情况与军力配置比较,通过军事利益集团内部与外部博弈、权衡,在结盟政策中发挥其不可替代的作用。

关键词: 政权更替, 政权类型, 军事利益集团, 同盟

Abstract: The author observes that regime changes,regime types and military interest groups that are closely related to the regime may influence alliance policy.Upon a regime change,the survival,security and legitimacy of the regime becomes the priority of the rulers,and alliance is one of the efficient means to satisfy this needs.These two are of interactive relation.Creditability of alliance commitment is affected by the cost of alliance commitment,and different regime types provide different anticipations for the creditability of alliance commitment.Military interest groups are able to provide the precise military situation of the home state,the ally and the rival along with a comparison of their military configuration.Thus,the military interest groups play a crucial and indispensable role in policy-making concerning alliance through internal and external gaming and trading-off.

Key words: regime change, regime type, military interest group, alliance

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