关键词: 百年变局, 世界权力, 国际秩序, 复合, 变革

Abstract: The world today is undergoing profound changes unseen in a century.A deep understanding of the profound changes requires exploring the two key issues of “power” and “order”. The emergence of profound changes unseen in a century originates from deepseated changes including fluctuations in world power, and the loosening of international order brought about by fluctuations in world power constitutes a prominent feature of the major changes in a century. The structural changes in world power are the result of the accumulation of various factors, among which internal and external tensions as well as reverse and forward thrusts lead to changes in power structures and dominant values, and transfers of rulemaking power, promoting profound changes in world power and international order. The trend that “the East rises and the West falls” is becoming prominent, while it is still a fact that “the West is strong, and the East is weak”. Internal rifts in Western countries are widening, while emerging countries also lack sufficient cohesion. The strategic competition between China and the US is intensifying, and competition among the great powers is complicated. Multiple regions in the real world overlap, contradict, and intertwine with each other, deducing a complex and diverse but interrelated and constantly changing network of power, order and flow, and presenting a compound situation with hybrid and intertwined realities. Facing the future, the structure of world power will shift from “unilateral” to “multilateral”. The distribution of world power and international order will inevitably see a new pluralistic paradigm. China must find its own position facing the profound changes, accurately identify changes, adeptly respond to them, work to steer them in a favorable direction, and bring to the uncertain world more certainty.

Key words: changes unseen in a century, world power, international order, compound, transformation