Abstract:

From the perspective of national interest preferences, this paper tries to analyze Japan's perceptions of the “Belt & Road Initiative”. The preferences for “relative material gains” and “normsshaped national interests” lead to Japan's competitionbiased perceptions, specifically involving the “threat” of this Initiative to Japan's geopolitical and geoeconomic interests, and the “challenge” to the Western values and international infrastructure construction standards. The “absolute material gains” lead to Japan's coordinationbiased perceptions, mostly reflected in its identification with global institutions, acceptance of regional institutional coordination, and exploration of pragmatic cooperation patterns. Since Biden took office, the US has been advancing the “IndoPacific” strategy with Japan and other countries. Japan's perceptions of the “Belt & Road Initiative” will probably remain the same in the future, i.e. competition will be the dominant perception, which is supplemented by coordination. However, there are still many uncertainties in this regard.

Key words: Japan's perceptions of the “Belt &, Road Initiative”, interest preferences, competitionbiased perceptions, coordinationbiased perceptions

摘要： 本文基于国家利益偏好的视角，试图分析日本的“一带一路”认知。 “物质的相对收益”偏好与“规范塑造的国家利益”偏好构成日本的“竞争性”认知，具体包括“一带一路”对日本地缘政治与地缘经济利益的“威胁性”，以及对西方价值观和国际基础设施建设标准的“挑战性”;“物质的绝对收益”偏好构成日本的“协调性”认知，主要体现在全球性体制认同、区域性制度协调以及务实合作探索模式三个方面。随着拜登政府上台并联合日本等国家进一步推进“印太”战略，日本未来对“一带一路”的认知或将维持“竞争为主、协调为辅”，但也面临诸多变数。

关键词: 日本“一带一路”认知, 利益偏好, “竞争性”认知, “协调性”认知