关键词: 新冠疫情, 疫情大萧条, 全球价值链, 新发展格局, 去全球化, 慢全球化

Abstract: The impact of the Covid19 pandemic is significantly different from the crisis in history. It is not only a crisis caused by a global pandemic, but also a major uncertainty in the prospects of globalization. “Deglobalization” essentially refers to the great adjustment of globalization led by the United States, but it does not mean the end of globalization. The development level of globalization in history also has ups and downs. We cannot infer the prospect of globalization from the current level of hyperglobalization. The power transition between China and the United States, especially the group rise of developing countries, will change the political dynamics of globalization. As developing countries attach more importance to regional economy, the traditional globalization at the global level will become more focused on regional cooperation. The Covid19 pandemic also shows that the global value chain will pay more attention to security factors, which will also shorten and slow down the level of globalization at the global level. In the post epidemic era, China has put forward the new development strategy of establishing international and domestic dual circulation, which means the exportoriented strategy is coming to an end. The changes of Chinas external economic environment have also prompted Chinese scholars to rethink the relationship between security and international political economy.

Key words: Covid19, pandemic depression, global value chains, new development pattern, deglobalization, slowbalization