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On Framework of Path-Dependent Analysis
Liu Yuanchun
Teaching and Research
1999, (1):
43-48,80.
Framework of path-dependent analysis is a method of using non-linear dynamic randomization to analyze the phenomenon of path-dependence. Its widespread application is found in transition path of technique, transition path of enterprise system, and transition path of system by the new system economics. It has now become an important means of placing categories such as progressive increase of profits, multi-layer balance, external chance conflicts into system analysis.However, framework of path-dependent analysis is not without fault. It neglects the differences between the natural system and the social system at it tends to over-emphasize the function of “mechanics of positive backwash" in transition of the system. Therefore, it is unable to handle properly the principal influence of various conflicts of interests in the social system on system transition. For the same reason, it is unable to really combine contingency and inevitability.
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