主管:教育部
主办:中国人民大学
ISSN 0257-2826  CN 11-1454/G4

Teaching and Research ›› 2014, Vol. 48 ›› Issue (10): 5-14.DOI:

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Effects of Government Expenditure Structure upon the Consumption
 Demand of Urban and Rural Residents
——Based On the Analysis of the Additive Model of Chinese Date

FANG  Fu-Qian   

  1. School of Economy, Renmin University of China,Beijing 100872
  • Online:2014-10-16 Published:2014-10-20

政府支出结构对城乡居民
消费需求的影响
——基于中国数据的可加模型分析

方福前   

  1. 中国人民大学 经济学院,北京 100872
  • 作者简介:方福前,中国人民大学教授,经济学博士,主要研究方向为宏观经济理论与政策。
  • 基金资助:

    本文系国家社科基金重点项目“中国居民消费需求影响因素调查与计量分析”(项目号:09AJL001)的阶段性成果之一。

Abstract: This paper studied the effect of structure of Chinese government expenditure upon the consumption demand of urban and rural residents from 1978 to 2006 with the additive model. The results of the study include: the governments administrative expenses squeezed out the consumption expenditure of the urban and rural residents; social cultural and educational expenditure squeezed into the consumption expenditure of urban and rural residents; the financial expenditure of economic construction expenditure squeezed into the consumption demand of urban and rural resident;defense expenditure squeezed into the consumption expenditure of urban residents in a certain range but squeezed out the consumption of rural residents. The results of this study provide clear revelation for the adjustment of the structure of fiscal expenditure in China, enhancing the residentsconsumption as well as expanding domestic demand.

Key words: the structure of the government expenditure , private consumption  , extrusion , squeeze

摘要: 在前人研究的基础上,本文使用可加模型实证研究了1978—2006年中国政府支出结构对城乡居民消费需求的影响,结果发现:政府的行政管理费支出挤出了城乡居民的消费支出;社会文教费支出则挤入城乡居民消费支出;财政支出中的经济建设费支出对城乡居民的消费需求在一定范围内有挤入效应,但超过该范围则对居民消费产生挤出效应;国防费支出在一定范围内对城镇居民消费支出具有挤入作用,但对农村居民消费则有挤出作用。这个经验研究结果为我国财政支出结构调整,为提升居民消费,扩大内需,提供了明确的启示。

关键词: 政府支出结构 , 居民消费 , 挤出 , 挤入